What Happened to Horses Is Happening to Us
Why Hacker News recommends it
HN has recommended it for a decade as the standard explainer on automation and unemployment, though skeptics later cite it as an example of overconfident predictions.
What it is
CGP Grey's video "Humans Need Not Apply" argues that automation will make a large part of the workforce economically obsolete, much as engines did for horses. It surveys robots and software replacing both physical and mental labor.
Recommended by 11 HN commenters across 11 different months, 2014 to 2026.
What Hacker News said
Strong rec zyx321 · 2014-12 · on “Artificial Intelligence Isn’t a Threat – Yet”
Easier said than done. What are they going to retrain to? As AI continues to advance, more and more jobs will necome redundant. CGP Grey did a great video on this[1]. Even if you can't completely replace humans, often times, obe person will be able to do the job that used to take several. Where do those others go? What will we as a society do if for example AI-based Expert Systems make 90% of accountants and office clerks redundant? We can't retrain all of them to become doctors and scientists, can we? [1] [this video]
Strong rec polymatter · 2015-04 · on “The Machines Are Coming”
I highly recommend CGP Greys video ( [this video] ) for a good overview of the issue. See [LINK] for similar discussion.
Strong rec scrollaway · 2015-09 · on “Amazon Flex”
And people who refuse to see it are usually blind... The supermarkets I go to have greatly reduced their cashiers. In most cases by at least half, especially in small shops (3 cashiers has become 2-3 machines and one human). As for bakers, they don't just make bread and cake. Excellent video on the subject: CGPGrey - Humans Need Not Apply: [this video]
Strong rec csl · 2015-11 · on “The Most Common Job in Each State 1978-2014”
This reminded me of the "Humans need not apply" video, which I strongly recommend, if you haven't already seen it: [this video] Discussion: [LINK]
Strong rec noetic_techy · 2016-12 · on “The AI Unemployment Anti-FAQ (2013)”
This article just leans on the same historic analogies that don't hold up to scrutiny. These answers fall way short of the effect of automation and AI will have. You are not replacing the job with another, you are replacing the human brain! I always refer people to this video to explain what it will be like, and it debases almost all the points made in this FAQ: [this video] All these historical analogies fall flat on their face when it comes to an AI being trained to do your exact job. This is not another case of farmers moving to different higher skilled jobs. We are the employed horses of the 1800s about to be made unemployable by the advent of cars.
Recommends zanny · 2014-08 · on “Hal Finney being cryopreserved now”
A huge portion of the workforce will be unemployable in our lifetimes: [this video] By the time the technology comes around the revive the cryopreserved, the rest of technological advancement will change the dynamic of human interaction so much we cannot estimate what the world will be like, but we can assume that with technology advanced enough to repair the damage from the freezing process, you would probably be entering a world of almost any possibility.
Recommends abandonliberty · 2014-10 · on “1984 v. Brave New World”
Human obsolescence wasn't on Huxley's mind. Instead of Deltas, Gammas, and Epsilons doing awful labour, they will do none. While CGP Grey has a very consumer-oriented view, it's quite compelling. [this video]
Recommends fizixer · 2015-03 · on “Coding is not the new literacy”
You seem to be coming from the opposing view of that of the article, that coding 'is' the new literacy. I was more challenging the article's claim that modeling is the new literacy, which I think isn't. As to whether coding is the new literacy or not, I'd say we really need to ask what is the purpose of education. If the purpose of education is enlightenment, then yes, a child should learn how to code, but also how to paint, how to play a musical instrument, and so on and so forth. But then some children have the aptitude for one thing, some for another thing. But I think the purpose of education as a means of making the individual economically viable is becoming more and more futile with in