Gwynne Dyer -- Geopolitics in a Hotter World

The University of British Columbia · 82K views · 2010 · 1:31:53

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Why Hacker News recommends it

HN recommends it as a sobering, still-relevant look at the geopolitical consequences of warming, including why official reports lag the data.

What it is

Historian and journalist Gwynne Dyer gives a long UBC talk on how climate change will reshape international politics. He covers food, borders, refugees and the possibility of unilateral geoengineering by affected nations.

Recommended by 4 HN commenters across 7 different months, 2018 to 2023.

What Hacker News said

Strong rec artur_makly · 2018-10 · on “Major Climate Report Describes a Strong Risk of Crisis as Early as 2040”

Oh but this gets better! This is a great dissertation on how the GeoPolitics will play this little game out: [this video] - by Gwynne Dyer

Recommends artur_makly · 2018-05 · on “We’ve Passed the Carbon Tipping Point”

surprisingly there are low-tech ways to reverse the heating. watch Gwynne Dyer‘s closing arguments: [this video]

Recommends carapace · 2019-08 · on “Scientists Have Been Underestimating the Pace of Climate Change”

Dr. Gwynne Dyer gave a talk, "Geopolitics in a Hotter World" – Sept. 2010 > So when the Hadley Centre put these numbers out they were incorporating (which the IPCC does not) the early impacts of positive feedbacks, as well as just how much carbon dioxide will we put into the air by 2060. First time that had been done, but it gives you a really frightening number…and then they did the map. Which is again, something that’s not normally done, and the consequence is we don’t have a lot of time. We’re in deep trouble. And the military know this; the military know this everywhere. > the rule of thumb is that you lose 10% of global food production for every 1 degree Celsius higher average global te

Recommends carapace · 2019-09 · on “Researchers are racing to find out why methane levels are increasing so fast”

Geopolitics in a Hotter World – UBC Talk Transcribed (Sept. 2010) [LINK] Video [this video] Long, good, hard to summarize but I'll try: Things are worse than publicly talked about; there are a few options (geo-engineering). "People always raid before they starve." - - - - We have the solutions already. Cut-n-paste from a comment yesterday, apologies if you've seen it already, I think it's worth it: For practical advice on what to do I recommend Toby Hemenway's videos in re: Permaculture [LINK] Especially "How Permaculture Can Save Humanity and the Planet – But Not Civilization" and the sequel "Redesigning Civilization with Permaculture". Permaculture is a school of applied ecology (the word itsel

Recommends dougmwne · 2019-09 · on “Researchers are racing to find out why methane levels are increasing so fast”

You lead with the idea that people in power have made a secret decision to do away with democracy and deploy totalitarianism. This is by definition a conspiracy. The rest of what you said, plus what you just said about departments of people already looking at this I find quite realistic. Someone else just posted this 10 year old video on the geopolitics of climate change. I wanted to make sure you saw it. [this video]

Recommends Qwertious · 2021-04 · on “Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades”

There's a video on YouTube, Gwynne Dyer -- Geopolitics in a Hotter World (2010) ( [this video] ), which very briefly touches on it IIRC. I'm talking about the bit that starts at 8m30s on the video, but I highly recommend watching the whole thing (or at leas the 1-hour talk part - the Q&A is practically inaudible for me). Basically, the IPCC doesn't publish studies - they study compilations of studies, every 4-5 years. And when they start compiling, they have a cut-off date at the very start and only use studies that have been both completed and have passed peer review from before that date. Meanwhile, the studies themselves have the same problem - they obviously can't start the study with incompl

Recommends carapace · 2021-10 · on “Global Climate Report – September 2021”

There's a fascinating talk from about eleven years ago: Dr. Gwynne Dyer – Geopolitics in a Hotter World – UBC Talk Transcribed (Sept. 2010) [LINK] video: [this video] Among other things he talks about is the possibility of unilateral geoengineering by some of the nations that will be feeling the effects sooner and more, uh, compellingly than others: > I talked–actually, the head of the Bangladesh Institute of Strategic Studies about this (you didn’t even know that existed, did you?). Well, there is one, it’s quite serious–run by a General, bright guy. I said, “have you heard about geoengineering?” and he smiled–seraphically–and he said, “Mmm. Yes. Your question?” > And I asked the question, “Do y

Recommends carapace · 2022-05 · on “Poll: Is Large-Scale Climate Geoengineering Inevitable?”

I've mentioned it on HN before, so apologies if you've already seen it, but there's a fascinating talk by one Dr. Gwynne Dyer: "Geopolitics in a Hotter World" (Sept. 2010) video: [this video] Transcription: [LINK] > I talked–actually, the head of the Bangladesh Institute of Strategic Studies about this (you didn’t even know that existed, did you?). Well, there is one, it’s quite serious–run by a General, bright guy. I said, “have you heard about geoengineering?” and he smiled–seraphically–and he said, “Mmm. Yes. Your question?” > And I asked the question, “Do you think that this is something the Bangladesh government might want to do a little bit, before, let’s say, the US government or the Chine