Demographic Collapse — China's Reckoning (Part 1)
Why Hacker News recommends it
Offered as a starter for people wanting to understand China's demographic crisis and how it threatens economic growth.
What it is
PolyMatter's first part of a series on China's demographic collapse, covering the effects of the one-child policy, shrinking workforce and economic consequences.
Recommended by 2 HN commenters across 2 different months, 2021 to 2021.
What Hacker News said
Recommends TheAdamAndChe · 2021-04 · on “How Western Civilisation Could Collapse”
Of relevance is this video[1] discussing a demographic crisis in China caused from their one-child policy that will lead to significant economic issues in the coming decades, much like how Japan is having issues. There's a good chance this will limit their growth. [1] [this video]
Recommends anm89 · 2021-10 · on “China's Xi vows 'reunification' with Taiwan”
I've recently been really digging in on China, and the more I read / learn, the less threatening (not evil, the CCP is certainly plenty evil) I perceive them. A starter on this is the three part polymatter series. 1) China has a monster of a demographics problem that they are clearly lying about with census data: [this video] [LINK] 2) It's pretty well established at this point that Chinese property markets have serious issues which threaten systemic issues: [LINK] [LINK] 3) Their resource situation, especially water issues are serious: [LINK] 4) They have terrible Geography from a military perspective and are not nearly as militarily strong as they project [LINK] 5) And the biggest one. Chinese
Cites novok · 2021-07 · on “A theory that “elite overproduction” leads to political instability (2020)”
China has a lot of challenges coming up in the future that is slowing that growth now: [this video] It's making the CCP jittery, which is a theory behind the increasing authoritarianism in the country now.