Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order by Ray Dalio

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Strong rec chubot · 2022-05 · on “No, America is not collapsing”

I tend to ignore the "endless screeching", and I've long had an optimistic world view somewhat aligned with say Steven Pinker -- we're living through the best times, roughly monotonic progress, with some temporary setbacks. But this recent video by Ray Dalio made me think a lot, and led me to his books: [this video] Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order He did a bunch of quantitative research and came up with a model for the prosperity of countries, and "the world order". In the model, there were 4 world leaders at various points: Dutch, British, Americans, and Chinese. The basic pattern is that they were productive and industrious, gained military power, and grew to hold the world

Strong rec chubot · 2023-01 · on “Ask HN: Why Is Everything Declining?”

Assuming you live in the US like I do, definitely watch this video and read Dalio's book (I bought 2 copies) Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order by Ray Dalio (2022) [this video] Basically we're on the downward part of the cycle of wealth. That has NOT happened in our lifetimes, but it's happened many times before to other countries (Netherlands, Britain, China). Some things go in 150 or 250 year cycles and they're hard to see. Basically the idea is that in the long term, countries need to actually produce wealth in accordance to how much money they print. HOWEVER, the problem is that you can actually get away with NOT doing so for 50+ years -- the span of more than one generation

Strong rec short_throw · 2023-07 · on “Uh, guys, we should think about spending more on defense in the US”

If you aren't familiar with Ray Dalio's Principles for a Changing World Order, I can't recommend it enough (both the book and the YouTube video). You'll understand a lot better where the U.S. is in it's history and why so much is the way it is. [this video]

Strong rec hayst4ck · 2024-02 · on “U.S. Strikes Iran-Backed Groups in Syria and Iraq”

Ray Dalio has weighed on exactly your question. This is a 45 minute video that directly answers exactly your question, that is very much worth a watch: [this video] The extremely quick version is that wars happen when am empire is in decline, not when they have collapsed, so we are still salvageable, but only if we get a handle on income inequality. He would say that Pax Americana has not collapsed yet, but that it is definitely in the process of collapsing. He asserts that the main identifier of empire decline is income inequality which is fueled heavily by inflation which was enabled by the abandoning of the gold standard (Have you seen that WTF happened in 1971 meme? Abandoning the gold standa

Recommends OrlandoHakim · 2022-03 · on “What is money, anyway?”

I am surprised no one has shared these two important documentary videos on money: Money as Debt: [LINK] Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order by Ray Dalio: [this video]

Recommends fervor · 2022-04 · on “War Without Rules: Inside China’s Playbook for Global Domination”

This video seems appropriate with the article: [this video] A friend recently shared this video “principles for dealing with the changing world order” which stirred up a very solemn feeling in me. It may be the first time as an American that I felt a sense of duty to compete in regard to our international place. I’ve been wondering if any other Americans (and the west in general) wonder what they personally can do. In the video, Ray Dalio suggests saving money (fiscal conservatism?), being nice (political tolerance?), and competing technologically. If only it were that simple.

Recommends Litost · 2022-06 · on “Only essential services to operate from midnight”

I'm not that familiar with the Fourth Turning and this also originates from the US, but I did find it quite helpful when considering where things are, have been and might be going and how the US is in a cycle along with other nations: [this video] I'd also not heard of Glocalization, but it reminds me of a couple of topics that are covered in Fritjof Capra's Systems View of Life book (also a course), around emergent behaviour in complex systems and how this competes with top down command and control ideas (or in organisations as the formal and informal networks).

Recommends f0e4c2f7 · 2022-08 · on “Y Combinator narrows current cohort size by 40%, citing downturn and funding”

Ray Dalio wrote a book theorizing about some of these possibilities. I haven't read it yet but this video summary of it is pretty interesting. [this video]